Blackjack betting strategies are heavily context-dependent. That means the best choice depends on all the game’s variables. Every player’s hand has a different ideal betting strategy, which depends on the dealer’s face-up card and the running count in some cases.
The odds of winning a blackjack game can be quantified and the player’s optimal betting strategies chosen. Here’s the probability of winning in blackjack hands and all the actions necessary when following the basic game strategy to bet at casinos with fast withdrawals today.
Blackjack’s probability of winning
When starting to play a jackpot, it’s important to think of how often gamblers win, tie and lose in a real money blackjack table. Assuming you’re playing the standard blackjack table game with the basic betting strategy, you stand a 42.22% chance of winning every hand, an 8.48% of getting a push, and a 49.10% of losing cash.
In a single hour of gameplay at a blackjack table, you stand a chance of winning 26 hands, losing 29 hands, and tying five times. For instance, if you’re playing a $10 blackjack hand, it will cost you approximately $30 every hour.
What about multiple losses or wins at a blackjack table? You can get a basic probability for the winning or losing odds for X number of times with simple multiplication. For instance, do you want to know your odds of winning three times in a row? Here’s a simple plan – try and raise your overall winning odds to the third power to win three times in a row and get 7.5%. However, winning three times consecutively should only happen once in every 12-12 sessions.
As many gambling experts will tell you, your odds of losing 12 blackjack hands consecutively are surprisingly high. Take your odds of losing every hand and raise that to the power of twelve. That means you stand a chance of winning 12 times consecutively in every 5000 blackjack sessions. However, variance is a key part of the gameplay.
Blackjack odds vs dealer’s face-up card
Here’s a simple chart showing the advantage of a player using the basic blackjack strategy against the casino dealer based on the face-up card showing the dealer’s hand:
- Dealer No. 2 – the dealer busts 35.0+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 9.8%
- Dealer No. 3 – the dealer busts 37.5+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 13.4%
- Dealer No. 4 – the dealer busts 40.25+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 18%
- Dealer No 5 – the dealer busts 42.85+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 23.2%
- Dealer No. 6 – the dealer busts 42.0+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 23.9%
- Dealer No. 7 – the dealer busts 25.90+% of the time – the player’s advantage sits at 14.3%
- Dealer No. 8 – the dealer busts 23.80+% of the time – the player’s advantage is 5.4%
- Dealer No. 9 – the dealer busts 23.30+% of the time – the casino’s advantage is 4.3%
- Dealer No. 10 – the dealer busts 21.40+% of the time – the casino advantage is 16.5+%
- Dealer No. J – the dealer busts 21.40+% of the time – the casino’s advantage is 16.9%
- Dealer No. Q – the dealer busts 21.40+% of the time – the casino’s advantage is 16.8+%
- Dealer No. K – the dealer busts 21.40+% of the time – the casino’s advantage is 16.9%
- Dealer No. A – the dealer busts 11.65% of the time – casino advantage is 16%
